Bulletin of Semashko National Research Institute of Public HealthBulletin of Semashko National Research Institute of Public Health2415-84102415-8429FSSBI «N.A. Semashko National Research Institute of Public Health»272910.25742/NRIPH.2024.01.013Научная статьяAnalysis of the demographic situation in the Samara regionShmelevIgor A.i.a.shmelyov@samsmu.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-5973-9171CherkasovSergey N.cherkasovsn@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1664-6802Samara State Medical UniversityInstitute of Control SciencesV.A. Trapeznikov Academy of Sciences16032024281909525042025Copyright © 2025,2025<p>Aim: to analyze the demographic situation in the Samara region for the period 20102020.<br />Materials and methods. The database of the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) 2 was used as information sources. Characteristics of the demographic situation used in this study: indicators characterizing the statics (population size, age-sex structure, the number of women of reproductive age) and the dynamics of the population of the Samara region (fertility, fertility, mortality, natural and migration growth). Demographic indicators were calculated using standard formulas.</p> <p>lation, due to the urban population, the preservation of the sexual structure of the population and a change in the age structure of the population in terms of reducing the proportion of the working-age population. The consequences of the new coronavirus infection have manifested themselves in the form of a decrease in the population to a greater extent of working age. Attention is drawn to the decrease in the female population by 1.3% during the study period, a more rapid decrease in the female population of reproductive age by 15.1%, as well as a decrease in fertility by 9.9% and a decrease in the proportion of women in the age categories of 1534 years, especially in the age category of 2024 years (by 53%). The natural movement of the population of the Samara region is determined by negative trends: the decline in the birth rate since 2015 requires an assessment of the effectiveness of measures to maintain the birth rate and demographic policy in general. The decline in the mortality rate occurred at a slow pace, and the new coronavirus infection radically changed the situation to a negative one, respectively, the population loss rate increased significantly. Migration growth is not able to replace the decline of the population for natural reasons. The revealed trends require a more detailed analysis of the dynamics of demographic processes in relation to the female population of reproductive age.<br /><br /></p>demographypublic healthpopulation staticspopulation dynamicsfertilitywomen of reproductive age.демографияобщественное здоровьестатика населениядинамика населениярождаемостьженщины репродуктивного возраста.1.LisitsynYu.P., UlumbekovaG.E. Public health and healthcare: textbook. Moscow: GEOTAR-Media; 2011. (in Russian).2.3.Genovese U., Del Sordo S., Casali M., et al. A new paradigm on health care accountability to improve the quality of the system: four parameters to achieve individual and collective accountability. Journal of Global Health. 2017;7(1):010301. doi:10.7189/jogh.07.010301.4.5.Meshkov D., Bezmelnitsyna L., Cherkasov S. A data management model for proactive risk management in healthcare. Advances in Systems Science and Applications. 2020;20(1):114—118. doi:10.25728/assa.2020.20.1.864.6.7.Shapovalova M.A. Socio-economic aspects of population reproduction. Health economics. [Ekonomika zdravoohranenija].2004;4:12—16. (in Russian).8.9.Lineva O.I., Khashina O.A., Shmelev I.A. The profession of an obstetrician-gynecologist: the view of a clinician, psychologist and lawyer: monograph. Samara; 2010. (in Russian).10.11.Rimashevskaya N.M. Social vector of development of Russia. Population. [Narodonaselenie]. 2007;1:5—9. (in Russian).12.13.Sirotko M.L., Cherkasov S.N. Assessment of the health status of the population of the Samara region. Bulletin of Semashko National Research Institute of Public Health. [Bjulleten' Nacional'nogo nauchno-issledovatel'skogo instituta obshhestvennogo zdorov'ja imeni N.A.Semashko]. 2015;2:209—212. (in Russian).14.15.Kamaev Yu.O., et al. The state of health of pregnant women in the Russian Federation for the period from 2000 to 2015. Bulletin of Semashko National Research Institute of Public Health. [Bjulleten' Nacional'nogo nauchno-issledovatel'skogo instituta obshhestvennogo zdorov'ja imeni N.A.Semashko]. 2017;7:37—44. (in Russian).16.17.Polunina N.V., Shmelev I.A., Konovalov O.E. Assessment of risk factors for newborn health and attitude to breastfeeding of urban women. Bulletin of the Peoples' Friendship University of Russia. Series: Medicine. [Vestnik Rossijskogo universiteta druzhby narodov. Serija: Medicina]. 2015;4:9—15. (in Russian).18.19.Pechegina Yu.S., Sergeev V.V., Shmelev I.A. Legal aspects of surrogacy. Bulletin of Economics, Law and Sociology. [Vestnik jekonomiki, prava i sociologii]. 2021;3:66—69. (in Russian).20.21.Kakorina E.P., et al. The main indicators of maternal and child health, the activities of the child protection and maternity services in the Russian Federation: statistical materials. Moscow: CRIHOI of the Ministry of Health of Russia; 2018. 170 p. (in Russian).22.23.Cherkasov S.N., Egiazaryan K.A., Kurnosikov M.S., et al. Approaches to planning the need for specialized inpatient medical care. Bulletin of Semashko National Research Institute of Public Health. [Bjulleten' Nacional'nogo nauchno-issledovatel'skogo instituta obshhestvennogo zdorov'ja imeni N.A.Semashko].2017;5:78—86. (in Russian).24.25.Boyko Yu.P., Shapovalova M.A., Ugurchieva H.Yu., et al. Medical and social portrait of women in childbirth (according to the regional perinatal center, Astrakhan). Medical Bulletin of the Ministry of Internal Affairs. [Meditsinskiy vestnik MVD]. 2020;6(109):4—16 (in Russian).26.27.Shmelev I.A., Konovalov O.E. Experience in reducing the mortality of children and adolescents in the Samara region. Russian Medico-Biological Bulletin named after Academician IP Pavlov. [Rossijskij mediko-biologicheskij vestnik imeni akademika I.P.Pavlova].2015;23(2):76—79. (in Russian).28.29.Ogul L.A., Shapovalova M.A., Yaroslavtsev A.S. Population reproduction. International Journal of Applied and Fundamental Research. [Mezhdunarodnyj zhurnal prikladnyh i fundamental'nyh issledovanij]. 2011;11:68. (in Russian).30.31.Askov N.N., Shmelev I.A, Sergeev V.V., et al. On the issue of reasonable risk and professional error of a medical worker in providing medical care to patients with a new coronavirus infection Covid-19. Bulletin of Economics, Law and Sociology. [Vestnik jekonomiki, prava i sociologii]. 2020;2:59—62. (in Russian).32.33.Breusov A.V., Konovalov O.E., Kharitonov A.K., et al. Socio-demographic characteristics and health status of women of fertile age in the Moscow region. Saratov Scientific Medical Journal. [Saratovskij nauchno-medicinskij zhurnal]. 2019;15(1):72—77. (in Russian).34.35.Shmelev I.A. Medical activity and gynecological morbidity of women of various ages. Bulletin of the Peoples' Friendship University of Russia. Series: Medicine. [Vestnik Rossijskogo universiteta druzhby narodov. Serija: Medicina]. 2015;3:14—17. (in Russian).