Mortality in the 21st century: regional features

Abstract


The article presents an analysis of mortality rate dynamics among the population of the Republic of Tatarstan from 2000 to 2022. It reflects the peculiarities of mortality rates between urban and rural populations, conducts an analysis of causes of death, and compares these rates with nationwide Russian statistics. Using statistical methods to process the data, it identifies population mortality trends and forecasts the standardized mortality coefficient for the current decade in the Republic of Tatarstan. Almost all major medical and demographic mortality indicators in the Republic of Tatarstan have lower values than in Russia as a whole. Thus, in the Republic of Tatarstan in January-October 2023, the overall mortality rate was 10.6 per 1000 people, which is lower than in the country as a whole — 11.9 per 1000 population and is the lowest in the Volga Federal District. However, the most pressing challenges of the current decade will be the general aging of the population, as a result — an increase in the prevalence of chronic non-communicable diseases, an increase in the cost of medical and preventive care for the population, an increase in the burden on the healthcare system, as well as an increase in the need for geriatric care for the population.


About the authors

Alex E. Krasnov

Burnasyan Federal Medical Biophysical Center of Federal Medical Biological Agency, FMBA

Author for correspondence.
Email: aekmu@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7718-1650

Russian Federation, Moscow, Russian Federation

Elvira N. Mingazova

Burnasyan Federal Medical Biophysical Center of Federal Medical Biological Agency, FMBA; Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Tatarstan;
Kazan State Medical University

Email: elmira_mingazova@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8558-8928

Russian Federation, Moscow, Russian Federation; Kazan, Russian Federation; Kazan, Russian Federation

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